Common Predictable Components in Regional Stock Markets

340

Posted: 18 Jan 1996

See all articles by Jia He

Jia He

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Finance

Lilian Ng

Schulich School of Business, York University; European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

Date Written: December 1995

Abstract

This paper employs recently developed multivariate methods to study the predictability of international stock market returns. We find evidence of significant common predictable components within the Pacific, the European, and the North American stock markets using region-specific instrumental variables. The degree of predictability of these common movements, however, varies across regional markets and across subperiods. Results indicate that only North American instrumental variables have the ability to predict excess returns on the stock markets in the other two regions, but not vice versa.

JEL Classification: G12, G15, C30

Suggested Citation

He, Jia and Ng, Lilian, Common Predictable Components in Regional Stock Markets (December 1995). 340, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=7094

Jia He

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Finance ( email )

Shatin, N.T.
Hong Kong
+882 2609 8568 (Phone)

Lilian Ng

Schulich School of Business, York University ( email )

N223, Seymour Schulich Building
4700 Keele Street
Toronto, Ontario ON M3J 1P3
Canada
+1.416.736.2100 x77994 (Phone)

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI) ( email )

c/o the Royal Academies of Belgium
Rue Ducale 1 Hertogsstraat
1000 Brussels
Belgium

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