Popularity Functions, Partisan Effects, and Support in Parliament

Posted: 13 Apr 2004

See all articles by Francisco José Veiga

Francisco José Veiga

Universidade do Minho and NIPE

Linda G. Veiga

University of Minho - Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Abstract

This paper analyzes the popularity of the main political entities in Portugal. Estimation results of popularity functions validate the responsibility hypothesis, with unemployment, and to a lesser extent inflation, affecting popularity levels. There is also evidence of personality effects, of popularity erosion over consecutive terms and of honeymoon effects. Finally, we found that voters' evaluations of incumbents' performance regarding unemployment is affected by their support in Parliament - when an incumbent faces more opposition in Parliament, voters are less likely to hold him responsible for unemployment increases.

Keywords: Popularity functions, partisan effects, parliamentary support, Portugal

JEL Classification: H80, E31, E60

Suggested Citation

Veiga, Francisco José and Veiga, Linda G., Popularity Functions, Partisan Effects, and Support in Parliament. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=528903

Francisco José Veiga (Contact Author)

Universidade do Minho and NIPE ( email )

Escola de Economia e Gestao
Campus de Gualtar
4710-057 Braga
Portugal
+351 25 360 4534 (Phone)
+351 253 67 6375 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.eeg.uminho.pt/economia/fjveiga/english/fjveiga_english.html

Linda G. Veiga

University of Minho - Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE) ( email )

Campus de Gualtar
Braga, P-4710-057
Portugal
+351-253604568 (Phone)
+351-253601380 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.eeg.uminho.pt/pt/_layouts/15/UMinho.PortaisUOEI.UI/Pages/userinfo.aspx?p=1814

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