Revisiting the Implied Remaining Variance framework of Carr and Sun (2014): Locally consistent dynamics and sandwiched martingales

28 Pages Posted: 14 May 2021

Date Written: May 13, 2021

Abstract

Implied volatility is at the very core of modern finance, notwithstanding standard option pricing models continue to derive option prices starting from the joint dynamics of the underlying asset price and the spot volatility. These models often cause difficulties: no closed formulas for prices, demanding calibration techniques, unclear maps between spot and implied volatility. Inspired by the practice of using implied volatility as quoting system for option prices, models for the joint dynamics of the underlying asset price and the implied volatility have been proposed to replace standard option pricing models. Starting from Carr and Sun (2014), we develop a framework based on the Implied Remaining Variance where minimal conditions for absence of arbitrage are identified, and smile bubbles are dealt with. The key concepts arising from the new IRV framework are those of locally consistent dynamics and sandwiched martingale. Within the new IRV framework, the results of Schweizer and Wissel (2008b) are reformulated, while those of El Amrani, Jacquier, and Martini (2021) are independently derived.

Keywords: Implied volatility, Absence of arbitrage, Bubble, SDE

JEL Classification: C60, G13

Suggested Citation

Martini, Claude and Raffaelli, Iacopo, Revisiting the Implied Remaining Variance framework of Carr and Sun (2014): Locally consistent dynamics and sandwiched martingales (May 13, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3845556 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3845556

Claude Martini

Zeliade Systems ( email )

Paris
France

HOME PAGE: http://www.zeliade.com

Iacopo Raffaelli (Contact Author)

Scuola Normale Superiore ( email )

Piazza dei Cavalieri, 7
Pisa, 56126
Italy

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