Rainy Days on Mondays: Storm Proxies, Human Actions and Disaster Outcomes in the Caribbean

20 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2021

See all articles by Denyse S. Dookie

Denyse S. Dookie

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment

Daniel Osgood

Columbia University

Date Written: December 1, 2020

Abstract

Are disaster outcomes the sole function of the weather, or do human actions play a role? Many assume that human dynamics matter, but this has not been tested. We utilize the exogenous nature of storm hazards and knowledge of pre-event preparedness by day-of-week to test if there is a connection between human actions and disaster outcomes, using Caribbean country-level data. We find that heavy rainfall events on Mondays robustly affect more people compared to events on other days of the week. Although less robust, we also see evidence in independent macroeconomic datasets of the same human-disaster interactions.

Keywords: natural hazards, human-disaster interaction, disaster preparedness

JEL Classification: Q01, Q54, Q59

Suggested Citation

Dookie, Denyse S. and Osgood, Daniel, Rainy Days on Mondays: Storm Proxies, Human Actions and Disaster Outcomes in the Caribbean (December 1, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3759941 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3759941

Denyse S. Dookie (Contact Author)

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment ( email )

Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE
Great Britain

Daniel Osgood

Columbia University ( email )

3022 Broadway
New York, NY 10027
United States

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