Popularity Functions, Partisan Effects and Support in Parliament

Universidade do Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 8/2001

35 Pages Posted: 13 Jan 2003

See all articles by Francisco José Veiga

Francisco José Veiga

Universidade do Minho and NIPE

Linda G. Veiga

University of Minho - Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: June 2002

Abstract

This paper analyzes the popularity of the main political entities in Portugal. Estimation results of popularity functions strongly favor the responsibility hypothesis, with unemployment, and to a lesser extent inflation, affecting popularity levels. Incumbents are more penalized for increases in unemployment/inflation than for deviations from target outcomes for these variables. There is also evidence of personality effects, of popularity erosion over consecutive terms and of honeymoon effects. Finally, we found that voters' evaluations of incumbents' economic performance depends of their support in Parliament - when an incumbent faces more opposition in Parliament, voters are less likely to hold him responsible for economic outcomes.

Keywords: Popularity functions, partisan effects, parliamentary support, Portugal

JEL Classification: E69, H80

Suggested Citation

Veiga, Francisco José and Veiga, Linda G., Popularity Functions, Partisan Effects and Support in Parliament (June 2002). Universidade do Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 8/2001, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=359360 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.359360

Francisco José Veiga (Contact Author)

Universidade do Minho and NIPE ( email )

Escola de Economia e Gestao
Campus de Gualtar
4710-057 Braga
Portugal
+351 25 360 4534 (Phone)
+351 253 67 6375 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.eeg.uminho.pt/economia/fjveiga/english/fjveiga_english.html

Linda G. Veiga

University of Minho - Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE) ( email )

Campus de Gualtar
Braga, P-4710-057
Portugal
+351-253604568 (Phone)
+351-253601380 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.eeg.uminho.pt/pt/_layouts/15/UMinho.PortaisUOEI.UI/Pages/userinfo.aspx?p=1814

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
66
Abstract Views
1,745
rank
326,962
PlumX Metrics