Hard to Get: The Scarcity of Women and the Competition for High-Income Men in Urban China

76 Pages Posted: 16 Jan 2020 Last revised: 14 Sep 2020

See all articles by David Ong

David Ong

Jinan University-University of Birmingham Joint Institute

Yu Yang

University of Wisconsin-Madison

Junsen Zhang

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Economics

Date Written: January 31, 2020

Abstract

Reports of the difficulties of elite women in finding suitable mates have been increasing despite the growing availability and value of men in China. We rationalize this “leftover women” phenomenon within the directed/competitive search framework, which uniquely allows for equilibrium crowding out. Within this framework, we show that the leftover women phenomenon can be the result of women’s aversion to men who have a lower income than themselves (hereafter, ALM) and the long-predicted complementarity between women’s non-market traits (in particular, beauty) and male earnings. For high-income (h-)women, even when high-income (H-)men are more plentiful and richer, the direct effect of the greater number of desirable men can be overwhelmed by the indirect effect of competitive ‘entry’ by low-income (l-)women, particularly, the beautiful. We test for these competitive search effects using online dating field experimental, Census, and household survey data. Consistent with the competitive entry of l-women, when sex ratio and H-men’s income increase, the search intensity of beautiful l-women for H-men increases. In response to this competitive entry, plain h-women, who are constrained by their ALM to search predominantly for H-men, also increase their search intensity. However, only their marriage probability decreases. Our evidence is consistent with intra-female competitive search for spouses who can cover the labor market opportunity cost of marriage and childbirth, which increases with a woman’s income.

Keywords: directed search, marriage, sex ratio, online dating, aversion to lower income men, beauty

JEL Classification: C93, J01, J12

Suggested Citation

Ong, David and Yang, Yu and Zhang, Junsen, Hard to Get: The Scarcity of Women and the Competition for High-Income Men in Urban China (January 31, 2020). Journal of Development Economics, 144(May), Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3509132

David Ong (Contact Author)

Jinan University-University of Birmingham Joint Institute ( email )

Jinan University
University City, Panyu
Guangzhou, Guangdong 510632
China

HOME PAGE: http://https://birmingham.jnu.edu.cn/

Yu Yang

University of Wisconsin-Madison ( email )

7481 Social Sciences Building
1180 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706
United States

Junsen Zhang

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Economics ( email )

Shatin, N.T.
Hong Kong

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