Comap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector
64 Pages Posted: 27 Aug 2019
Date Written: May 2019
This paper presents a novel approach to investigate and model the network of euro area banks' large exposures within the global banking system. Drawing on a unique dataset, the paper documents the degree of interconnectedness and systemic risk of the euro area banking system based on bilateral linkages. We develop a Contagion Mapping model fully calibrated with bank-level data to study the contagion potential of an exogenous shock via credit and funding risks. We find that tipping points shifting the euro area banking system from a less vulnerable state to a highly vulnerable state are a non-linear function of the combination of network structures and bank-specific characteristics.
Keywords: Banking sector, Financial crises, Macroprudential policies and financial stability, Financial institutions, Central banks, Systemic Risk, Network Analysis, Interconnectedness, Large Exposures, Stress Test, Macroprudential Policy., euro area, fire-sale, large exposure, interbank, fire sale
JEL Classification: D85, G17, G33, L14, G21, K2, E63, E01, G2
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation