Evaluating the Impact of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs on Fertility: The Case of the Red De Protección Social in Nicaragua

Journal of Population Economics, 2010

Posted: 8 Jan 2019

See all articles by Paul Winters

Paul Winters

International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)

Jessica Erin Todd

U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS)

Guy Stecklov

Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Faculty of Social Sciences

Date Written: September 23, 2010

Abstract

Evaluating the impact of poverty-reduction programs on fertility is complicated given that changes in incentives to have children take time to be incorporated into decision making and evaluation periods are usually quite brief. We explore the use of birth spacing as a short-run indicator of the impact of poverty-reduction programs on fertility. The data come from a Nicaraguan conditional cash transfer program that offers incentives for poor households to invest in children’s health, nutrition, and education. We estimate a stratified Cox proportional hazard model and find that the program decreased the hazard of a birth, indicating an increase in birth spacing.

Suggested Citation

Winters, Paul and Todd, Jessica Erin and Stecklov, Guy, Evaluating the Impact of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs on Fertility: The Case of the Red De Protección Social in Nicaragua (September 23, 2010). Journal of Population Economics, 2010, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3306638

Paul Winters (Contact Author)

International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) ( email )

Via Paolo di Dono
Rome, 00142
Italy

Jessica Erin Todd

U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS) ( email )

355 E Street, SW
Washington, DC 20024-3221
United States
(202) 694-5363 (Phone)

Guy Stecklov

Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Faculty of Social Sciences ( email )

Jerusalem
Israel

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