Insurers As Asset Managers and Systemic Risk

71 Pages Posted: 8 Jan 2018 Last revised: 23 Jun 2020

See all articles by Andrew Ellul

Andrew Ellul

Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Finance; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI); University of Naples Federico II - CSEF - Center for Studies in Economics and Finance

Chotibhak Jotikasthira

Southern Methodist University (SMU) - Finance Department

Anastasia V. Kartasheva

University of St. Gallen - I.VW-HSG; Joshua J. Harris Alternative Investment Program

Christian T. Lundblad

University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School; Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise

Wolf Wagner

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: June 21, 2020

Abstract

Financial intermediaries often provide guarantees that resemble out-of-the-money put options, exposing them to tail risk. We present a model in the context of the U.S. life insurance industry in which variable annuity (VA) guarantees and associated hedging operate within the regulatory capital framework to create incentives for insurers to overweight high-risk and illiquid bonds. We calibrate the model to insurer-level data, and identify the VA-induced allocation to these bonds. In the event of asset value or guarantee shocks and absent regulatory intervention, such allocation exacerbates system-wide fire sales (to maintain capital ratios), plausibly erasing 22-127% of insurers' equity capital.

Keywords: Systemic risk, Financial stability, Inter-connectedness, Financial intermediaries, Insurance companies

JEL Classification: G11, G12, G14, G18, G22

Suggested Citation

Ellul, Andrew and Jotikasthira, Chotibhak and Kartasheva, Anastasia V. and Lundblad, Christian T. and Wagner, Wolf, Insurers As Asset Managers and Systemic Risk (June 21, 2020). Kelley School of Business Research Paper No. 18-4, SMU Cox School of Business Research Paper No. 18-18, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3096147 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3096147

Andrew Ellul

Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Finance ( email )

1309 E. 10th St.
Bloomington, IN 47405
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI) ( email )

c/o the Royal Academies of Belgium
Rue Ducale 1 Hertogsstraat
1000 Brussels
Belgium

University of Naples Federico II - CSEF - Center for Studies in Economics and Finance ( email )

Via Cintia
Complesso Monte S. Angelo
Naples, Naples 80126
Italy

Chotibhak Jotikasthira (Contact Author)

Southern Methodist University (SMU) - Finance Department ( email )

United States

Anastasia V. Kartasheva

University of St. Gallen - I.VW-HSG ( email )

Kirchlistrasse 2
St. Gallen, 9010
Switzerland

Joshua J. Harris Alternative Investment Program ( email )

The Wharton School
3620 Locust Walk
Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States

Christian T. Lundblad

University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School ( email )

Kenan-Flagler Business School
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3490
United States
919-962-8441 (Phone)

Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise ( email )

Campus Box 3440, The Kenan Center
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-344
United States

Wolf Wagner

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) ( email )

Burgemeester Oudlaan 50
3000 DR Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland 3062PA
Netherlands

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

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