Retirement Security: Shorter Life Expectancy Reduces Projected Lifetime Benefits for Lower Earners

GAO-16-354

61 Pages Posted: 8 Apr 2016

See all articles by Charles A. Jeszeck

Charles A. Jeszeck

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Margie Shields

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Margaret Weber

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Laura Hoffrey

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Vincent Lui

Independent

Date Written: March 25, 2016

Abstract

The increase in average life expectancy for older adults in the United States contributes to challenges for retirement planning by the government, employers, and individuals. Social Security retirement benefits and traditional defined benefit (DB) pension plans, both key sources of retirement income that promise lifetime benefits, are now required to make payments to retirees for an increasing number of years. This development, among others, has prompted a wide range of possible actions to help curb the rising future liabilities for the federal government and DB sponsors. For example, to address financial challenges for the Social Security program, various options have been proposed, such as adjusting tax contributions, retirement age, and benefit amounts. Individuals also face challenges resulting from increases in life expectancy because they must save more to provide for the possibility of a longer retirement.

Life expectancy varies substantially across different groups with significant effects on retirement resources, especially for those with low incomes. For example, according to studies GAO reviewed, lower-income men approaching retirement live, on average, 3.6 to 12.7 fewer years than higher-income men. GAO developed hypothetical scenarios to calculate the projected amount of lifetime Social Security retirement benefits received, on average, for men with different income levels born in the same year. In these scenarios, GAO compared projected benefits based on each income groups' shorter or longer life expectancy with projected benefits based on average life expectancy, and found that lower-income groups' shorter-than-average life expectancy reduced their projected lifetime benefits by as much as 11 to 14 percent. Effects on Social Security retirement benefits are particularly important to lower-income groups because Social Security is their primary source of retirement income.

Social Security's formula for calculating monthly benefits is progressive — that is, it provides a proportionally larger monthly earnings replacement for lower-earners than for higher-earners. However, when viewed in terms of benefit received over a lifetime, the disparities in life expectancy across income groups erode the progressive effect of the program.

Suggested Citation

Jeszeck, Charles A. and Shields, Margie and Weber, Margaret and Hoffrey, Laura and Lui, Vincent, Retirement Security: Shorter Life Expectancy Reduces Projected Lifetime Benefits for Lower Earners (March 25, 2016). GAO-16-354, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2759458

Charles A. Jeszeck

Government Accountability Office (GAO) ( email )

441 G St., NW
Washington, DC 20548
United States

Margie Shields (Contact Author)

Government Accountability Office (GAO) ( email )

441 G St., NW
Washington, DC 20548
United States
(415) 904-2120 (Phone)

Margaret Weber

Government Accountability Office (GAO) ( email )

441 G St., NW
Washington, DC 20548
United States

Laura Hoffrey

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

441 G St., NW
Washington, DC 20548
United States

Vincent Lui

Independent

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