Adding China to the Global Projection Model
34 Pages Posted: 20 Jan 2014
Date Written: December 2013
We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an important role in shaping global economic outcomes, given its sheer size and trade integration with other key economies, its demand for commodities, and its policies. Also, the Chinese economy has several unique features which differentiate it from the rest of emerging Asia. These features (the use of multiple monetary-policy instruments and a managed-floating exchange-rate policy) mean that a separate treatment of China allows for a better consideration of China, as well as how the rest of emerging Asia behaves.
Keywords: Forecasting models, China, Monetary policy, Inflation, Exchange rate regimes, Commodity prices, Global Macroeconomic Model, spillovers, inflation target, real interest rate, inflationary pressures, inflation dynamics, reserve requirements, nominal interest rate, monetary fund, inflation process, inflation equation, money base, increase in interest rates, monetary policy reaction function, transmission of monetary policy, monetary authority, inflationary impact, inflation rates, price elasticity, monetary policy decisions, real interest rates, inflation targeting, real wages, price level, foreign exchange, increase in inflation, nominal interest rates
JEL Classification: C50, E10, E60, F01, F10
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation