On Exchange Rate Regimes, Exchange Rate Fluctuations, and Fundamentals

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 99-16

33 Pages Posted: 27 Jun 2001

See all articles by Sylvain Leduc

Sylvain Leduc

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Date Written: September 1999

Abstract

We develop a two-country, two-sector general equilibrium business cycle model with nominal rigidities featuring deviations from the law of one price. The paper shows that a model with these features can quantitatively account for the empirical fact that of the statistical properties of most macroeconomic variables, only the volatility of the real and nominal exchange rates has dramatically changed after the fall of the Bretton Woods system. In particular, we replicate some explicit non-structural tests proposed in the literature with simulated data from our artificial economy. We find that while the variability of observed fundamentals (e.g., output, money supply, and interest rates) is barely affected by the exchange rate regime, that of the exchange rate increases substantially under flexible rates.

Keywords: equilibrium business cycle, price-adjustment costs, pricing to market, exchange rate regime, exchange rate volatility, fundamentals

JEL Classification: F31

Suggested Citation

Leduc, Sylvain, On Exchange Rate Regimes, Exchange Rate Fluctuations, and Fundamentals (September 1999). FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 99-16, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=237548 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.237548

Sylvain Leduc (Contact Author)

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ( email )

101 Market Street
San Francisco, CA 94105
United States

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