Spring Forward or Fall Back? The Post-Crisis Recovery of Firms

32 Pages Posted: 11 Jan 2013

See all articles by Leandro Medina

Leandro Medina

George Washington University - Department of Economics; International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department

Date Written: December 2012

Abstract

This paper studies corporate performance in the aftermath of the global crisis by examining 6,581 manufacturing firms in 48 developed and developing countries in 2010, identifying factors of resilience as well as vulnerability. Based on a cross-sectional analysis, the results show that pre-crisis leverage and short-term debt have had negative effects on the speed of the recovery, while asset tangibility has had positive effects. The negative effect of leverage is non-linear, being particularly strong in firms with high pre-crisis leverage. Furthermore, the effects are different for advanced and emerging market economies. The paper also shows that the macroeconomic framework critically matters for firm growth. In particular, in countries that have allowed the exchange rate to depreciate, firms have had a faster recovery in sectors highly dependent on trade.

Keywords: Corporate sector, Emerging markets, Developed countries, Exchange rate regimes, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Economic recovery, Financial crisis, firm resilience, recovery, international finance, leverage, corporate performance, trade

JEL Classification: D22, F30, G01, G30, G32

Suggested Citation

Medina, Leandro, Spring Forward or Fall Back? The Post-Crisis Recovery of Firms (December 2012). IMF Working Paper No. 12/292, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2199305

Leandro Medina (Contact Author)

George Washington University - Department of Economics ( email )

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International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department

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Washington, DC 20431
United States

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