Logistic Law of Growth as a Base for Method of Forecasting Stock Market Data

12 Pages Posted: 29 Aug 2012 Last revised: 16 Sep 2013

See all articles by Rafał Siedlecki

Rafał Siedlecki

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu

Daniel Papla

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu

Date Written: August 27, 2012

Abstract

In our article is shown that no matter how good is the organization of the enterprises in stock market, sooner or later some financial and organizational difficulties will appear. Hence, the idea of assigning the analytical form of the logistic law based on selected financial data, enabling the determination of the cycle phases and their changes has appeared. The presented proposal of determining the stock market cycle of life and the model of forecasting has been tested on financial data of selected stock market (S&P 500).

Keywords: Law of Growth, Forecasting, Stock Market, Econometrics

JEL Classification: C13, C22, G15

Suggested Citation

Siedlecki, Rafał and Papla, Daniel, Logistic Law of Growth as a Base for Method of Forecasting Stock Market Data (August 27, 2012). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2137343 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2137343

Rafał Siedlecki

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu ( email )

Komandorska 118/120
Wroclaw, 53-345
Poland

Daniel Papla (Contact Author)

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu ( email )

Komandorska 118/120
Wroclaw, 53-345
Poland

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