Capital Inflows, Financial Innovation and Housing Booms

4 Pages Posted: 19 Jun 2012

See all articles by Filipa Sá

Filipa Sá

King's College London; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Pascal Towbin

Banque de France

Tomasz Wieladek

Bank of England

Date Written: March 1, 2012

Abstract

The run-up to the recent global financial crisis was characterized by an environment of low interest rates and a rapid increase in housing market activity across OECD countries. Some scholars argue that expansionary monetary policy was responsible for the low level of interest rates and the subsequent house price boom.2 Others contend that the low degree of financial development in emerging market economies led to capital inflows to developed countries, depressing long-term interest rates and stimulating an increase in the demand for housing.3 Figure 1 provides support for this hypothesis, showing that in the period from 1999 to 2006, house prices rose by more in countries with larger current account deficits. This negative correlation suggests the presence of an important link between the current account balance and the housing sector, but the direction of causality is unclear.

Suggested Citation

Sa, Filipa G. and Towbin, Pascal and Wieladek, Tomasz, Capital Inflows, Financial Innovation and Housing Booms (March 1, 2012). BIS Paper No. 64l, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2078814

Filipa G. Sa

King's College London ( email )

150 Stamford Street
London, SE1 9NN
United Kingdom

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Schaumburg-Lippe-Str. 7 / 9
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Pascal Towbin (Contact Author)

Banque de France ( email )

Paris
France

Tomasz Wieladek

Bank of England ( email )

Threadneedle Street
London, EC2R 8AH
United Kingdom

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