The Relationship between City Center Density and Urban Growth or Decline
Posted: 2 Jun 2012 Last revised: 12 Oct 2012
Date Written: June 1, 2012
In this paper we contrast the spatial patterns of population density and other demographic changes in growing versus shrinking MSAs from 1980 to 2010. We find that, on average, shrinking MSAs show the steepest drop in population density near the Central Business District (CBD). Motivated by this fact, we explore the connection between changes in population density at the core of the MSA and MSA productivity. We find that changes in near-CBD population density are positively associated with per capita income growth at the MSA-level. This paper will appear in Revitalizing America’s Cities, Susan Wachter and Kimberly Zeuli, eds, to be published in fall 2013 by the University of Pennsylvania Press.
Keywords: Urban Growth, Agglomeration, Spatial Distribution
JEL Classification: R11, R12
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation