The Timing of Daily Demand for Goods and Services - Microsimulation Policy Results of an Aging Society, Increasing Labour Market Flexibility and Extended Public Childcare in Germany

FFB Discussion Paper No. 90

37 Pages Posted: 30 Nov 2011

See all articles by Joachim Merz

Joachim Merz

Research Institute on Professions; Leuphana University of Lueneburg; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Dominik Hanglberger

Research Institute on Professions (FFB)

Rafael Rucha

Research Institute on Professions

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: May 2, 2011

Abstract

Knowledge about the timing of consumption opens new insights into consumption behavior for consumer, economic, social as well as for communal and societal policies. It not only allows sound information for a better match of timely supply and demand but also about everyday living arrangements. This study contributes to the timing aspect of daily consumption by posing the question: how is the timing of daily demand for goods and services affected by major changes in German society? We concentrate on important and currently discussed developments and policies: the huge shift in Germany’s demographic structure with an aging society (with a population forecast for 2020 by the German Federal Statistical Office), the deregulation and the further expansion in flexibility of the labor market and the current policy of extending public childcare support. For each aspect and policy we first describe the actual timing of daily demand for goods and services. With the microsimulation approach and different scenarios we then quantify the respective societal and policy impacts based on more than 37,000 time use diaries of the current German Time Budget Survey of 2001/2002.

Keywords: timing of daily demand for goods and services, consumer policy analysis by microsimulation, aging society, deregulation of the labour market, flexible working hours, public childcare support, German Time Budget Survey 2001/2002

JEL Classification: D12, J29

Suggested Citation

Merz, Joachim and Hanglberger, Dominik and Rucha, Rafael, The Timing of Daily Demand for Goods and Services - Microsimulation Policy Results of an Aging Society, Increasing Labour Market Flexibility and Extended Public Childcare in Germany (May 2, 2011). FFB Discussion Paper No. 90, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1966435

Joachim Merz (Contact Author)

Research Institute on Professions ( email )

Lüneburg
Germany

Leuphana University of Lueneburg

Scharnhorststrasse 1
Lüneburg, 21314
Germany

Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Dominik Hanglberger

Research Institute on Professions (FFB) ( email )

Scharnhorststraße 1
Lüneburg, 21335
Germany

Rafael Rucha

Research Institute on Professions ( email )

Lüneburg
Germany

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