Fishermen's Perspectives on Climate Variability

Marine Policy, Forthcoming

23 Pages Posted: 24 Jun 2011 Last revised: 18 Mar 2014

See all articles by Junjie Zhang

Junjie Zhang

Duke Kunshan University; Duke University

Jason Fleming

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Graduate School of International Relations and Pacific Studies (IRPS)

Ralf Goericke

University of California, San Diego (UCSD)

Date Written: June 12, 2011

Abstract

Understanding fishermen's perspectives and responses relating to climate variability is important for sustainable fisheries management. To this end, a survey of captains of commercial passenger fishing vessels (CPFVs) was conducted in San Diego. The survey demonstrates that fishermen have observed and adapted to changes in the environment and fish populations associated with climate variability. However, only 12.9% of respondents agreed that global climate change is a possibility. In order to explain fishermen's divergent beliefs on climate change, a semiparametric discrete choice model is used to identify the potential determinants. The empirical results highlight the importance of the following factors: fishermen's experience, observations of the phenomena that are associated with climate variability, and an interaction of fishermen's experience and their observations.

Keywords: climate variability, fishing, survey, semiparametric binary model

JEL Classification: Q54, Q22, C14

Suggested Citation

Zhang, Junjie and Fleming, Jason and Goericke, Ralf, Fishermen's Perspectives on Climate Variability (June 12, 2011). Marine Policy, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1871506 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1871506

Junjie Zhang (Contact Author)

Duke Kunshan University ( email )

No. 8 Duke Avenue
Kunshan, 215316
China
+86 512 36657068 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://junjiezhang.org

Duke University ( email )

No. 8 Duke Avenue
Kunshan, 215316
China
+86 512 36657068 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://junjiezhang.org

Jason Fleming

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Graduate School of International Relations and Pacific Studies (IRPS) ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
La Jolla, CA 92093-0519
United States

Ralf Goericke

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
Mail Code 0502
La Jolla, CA 92093-0112
United States

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