The Impact of Economic Growth on the Highways in Sao Paulo: An Application of Input-Output Model Combined with GIS (O Impacto Do Crescimento Econômico Sobre as Rodovias De São Paulo: Uma Aplicação Do Modelo De Insumo-Produto Combinado Com O Geoprocessamento)

34 Pages Posted: 16 Jun 2011 Last revised: 8 Aug 2011

See all articles by Silvio Massaru Ichihara

Silvio Massaru Ichihara

University of São Paulo (USP)

Joaquim Guilhoto

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) - Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI); University of Sao Paulo

Date Written: 2008

Abstract

The knowledge of the transport infrastructure is essential to define development strategies, especially in countries with continental dimensions like Brazil. Information about the spatial distribution of the economic agents and its commercial transactions allow the creation of specific regional plans. This study attempts to estimate the impact of the economic growth on the highways, using economic data of the Sao Paulo State. Initially, the economic flows among the cities of the State are estimated using an input-output gravity model, considering entropy maximization model and the inter-industry relationships derived from the input-output systems; later, these flows are incorporated in a geographic information system applied to transport network. Thus, the economic value associated to each highway is determined, allowing evaluate the difference between the years of 2002 and 2012, through the analysis of impact using the Leontief inverse matrix. The results are demonstrated by maps, making possible the direct evaluation about demand of transport network, easily understood by other areas technicians.

Note: Downloadable document is in Portuguese

Keywords: inter-regional flows, transport, input-output, GIS, regional analysis

JEL Classification: R04, R15

Suggested Citation

Ichihara, Silvio Massaru and Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, The Impact of Economic Growth on the Highways in Sao Paulo: An Application of Input-Output Model Combined with GIS (O Impacto Do Crescimento Econômico Sobre as Rodovias De São Paulo: Uma Aplicação Do Modelo De Insumo-Produto Combinado Com O Geoprocessamento) (2008). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1862188 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1862188

Silvio Massaru Ichihara

University of São Paulo (USP) ( email )

Rua Luciano Gualberto, 315
São Paulo, São Paulo 14800-901
Brazil

Joaquim José Martins Guilhoto (Contact Author)

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) - Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI) ( email )

Paris
France

University of Sao Paulo ( email )

Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, 908
FEA2
Sao Paulo, 05508-010
Brazil
+ 55 011 3091-5870 (Phone)
+ 55 011 3813-4743 (Fax)

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