The Value of Climate Forecast Information for Pastoralists: Evidence from Southern Ethiopia and Northern Kenya

Posted: 24 May 2011

See all articles by Winnie Luseno

Winnie Luseno

RTI International

John G. McPeak

Syracuse University - Department of Economics

Christopher B. Barrett

Cornell University - Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics & Management

Getachu Gebru

International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI); Utah State University - College of Natural Resources

Peter D. Little

University of Kentucky - Department of Anthropology

Date Written: February 18, 2003

Abstract

Climatic variability exerts tremendous influence on the livelihoods and well-being of pastoralists in the Horn of Africa. Recent advances in climate forecasting technologies have raised the intriguing prospect of reasonably accurate forecasts of coming seasons’ rainfall patterns. We explore the value of such external climate forecast information to pastoralists in southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya using data collected using both open-ended, qualitative methods to identify and understand indigenous climate forecasting methods and quantitative data collected using survey instruments. On balance, climate forecast information does not seem a limiting factor at present in pastoralist communities in the Horn of Africa.

Keywords: early warning systems, livestock, risk, uncertainty, weather

Suggested Citation

Luseno, Winnie and McPeak, John G. and Barrett, Christopher B. and Gebru, Getachu and Little, Peter D., The Value of Climate Forecast Information for Pastoralists: Evidence from Southern Ethiopia and Northern Kenya (February 18, 2003). World Development, Vol. 31, No. 9, 2003, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1846881

Winnie Luseno

RTI International ( email )

3040 Cornwallis Road
PO Box 12194
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John G. McPeak

Syracuse University - Department of Economics ( email )

Syracuse, NY 13244-1020
United States

Christopher B. Barrett (Contact Author)

Cornell University - Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics & Management ( email )

315 Warren Hall
Ithaca, NY 14853-7801
United States
607-255-4489 (Phone)
607-255-9984 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://aem.cornell.edu/faculty_sites/cbb2/

Getachu Gebru

International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) ( email )

P.O. Box 30709
Nairobi 00100
Kenya

Utah State University - College of Natural Resources

Logan, UT 84322
United States

Peter D. Little

University of Kentucky - Department of Anthropology ( email )

202 Lafferty Hall 0024
Lexington, KY 40506
United States
859-257-6923 (Phone)
859-323-1959 (Fax)

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