'True Believers' or Numerical Terrorism at the Nuclear Power Plant

23 Pages Posted: 24 Sep 2010

See all articles by Walter Kraemer

Walter Kraemer

University of Dortmund - Department of Statistics; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Gerhard Arminger

Bergische Universitat

Date Written: September 23, 2010

Abstract

For decades, there has been a heated debate about whether or not nuclear power plants contribute to childhood cancer in their respective neighbourhoods, with statisticians testifying on both sides. The present paper points to some flaws in the pro-arguments, taking a recent study prepared for the political party "Bündnis 90 / Grüne" as a specimen. Typical mistakes include an understatement of the size of tests of significance, disregard of important covariates and extreme reliance on very few selected data points.

Suggested Citation

Kraemer, Walter and Arminger, Gerhard, 'True Believers' or Numerical Terrorism at the Nuclear Power Plant (September 23, 2010). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3180, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1681326

Walter Kraemer (Contact Author)

University of Dortmund - Department of Statistics ( email )

D-44221 Dortmund
Germany
0231 755-3125 (Phone)
0231 755-5284 (Fax)

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

Gerhard Arminger

Bergische Universitat

42097 Wuppertal
Germany

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