To Shape the Future: How Labor Market Entry Conditions Affect Individuals' Long-Run Wage Profiles

Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich Working Paper No. 457

63 Pages Posted: 9 Dec 2009 Last revised: 21 Mar 2010

See all articles by Beatrice Brunner

Beatrice Brunner

University of Zurich - Department of Economics

Andreas Kuhn

University of Zurich; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: November 1, 2009

Abstract

We study the long-run effects of initial labor market conditions on wages for a large sample of male individuals entering the Austrian labor market between 1978 and 2000. We find a robust negative effect of unfavorable entry conditions on starting wages. This initial effect turns out to be quite persistent and even though wages do catch up later on, large effects on lifetime earnings result. We also show that initial labor market conditions have smaller and less persistent effects for blue-collar workers than for white-collar workers. We further show that some of the long-run adjustment takes place through changes in job-mobility and employment patterns as well as in job tenure. Finally, we find that adjustments at the aggregate level are key to explain wages' adjustment process in the longer run.

Keywords: Labor market cohorts, initial labor market conditions, long-run wage profiles, persistence of labor market shocks, unemployment, business cycle

JEL Classification: E3, J2, J3, J6, M5

Suggested Citation

Brunner, Beatrice and Kuhn, Andreas, To Shape the Future: How Labor Market Entry Conditions Affect Individuals' Long-Run Wage Profiles (November 1, 2009). Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich Working Paper No. 457, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1517775 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1517775

Beatrice Brunner (Contact Author)

University of Zurich - Department of Economics ( email )

Winterhturerstr. 30
Zuerich, 8006
Switzerland

Andreas Kuhn

University of Zurich ( email )

Bluemlisalpstrasse 10
Zurich, 8006
Switzerland

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

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