Decomposing Violence: Crime Cycles in the Twentieth Century in the United States

19 Pages Posted: 24 Aug 2008

Date Written: August 23, 2008

Abstract

I apply the Beveridge-Nelson business cycle decomposition method to the time series of murder in the United States (1900-2004). Separating out permanent from cyclical murder, I hypothesize that the cyclical part coincides with documented waves of organized crime, internal tensions, breakdowns in social order, crime legislation, alternation in power, social, and political unrest overseas as wars, and recently with the periodic terrorist attacks in the country.

Keywords: United States, Colombia, Beveridge-Nelson, murder cycle decomposition, time-series

JEL Classification: C22, D74, H56, N46, K14, K42, N42, O51

Suggested Citation

Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo A., Decomposing Violence: Crime Cycles in the Twentieth Century in the United States (August 23, 2008). Applied Econometrics and International Development, Vol. 7, No. 1, 2007, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1249284

Gustavo A. Gomez-Sorzano (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

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