Decomposing Violence: Crime Cycles in the Twentieth Century in the United States
19 Pages Posted: 24 Aug 2008
Date Written: August 23, 2008
I apply the Beveridge-Nelson business cycle decomposition method to the time series of murder in the United States (1900-2004). Separating out permanent from cyclical murder, I hypothesize that the cyclical part coincides with documented waves of organized crime, internal tensions, breakdowns in social order, crime legislation, alternation in power, social, and political unrest overseas as wars, and recently with the periodic terrorist attacks in the country.
Keywords: United States, Colombia, Beveridge-Nelson, murder cycle decomposition, time-series
JEL Classification: C22, D74, H56, N46, K14, K42, N42, O51
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation