Marcel J. Boumans

Utrecht University School of Economics

Pierson Professor History of Economics

Kriekenpitplein 21-22

Adam Smith Building

Utrecht, +31 30 253 7373 3584 EC

Netherlands

http://www.uu.nl/leg/staff/MJBoumans

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

52

DOWNLOADS
Rank 21,185

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 21,185

in Total Papers Downloads

2,870

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 32,999

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 32,999

in Total Papers Citations

11

CROSSREF CITATIONS

14

Ideas:
“  Marcel Boumans is Pierson Professor History of Economics at Utrecht University. His main research focus is on understanding empirical research practices in economics from a philosophy of science-in-practice perspective. He is particularly interested in the practices of measurement and modeling and the role of mathematics in social science. Because models are not complete as sources of knowledge for sciences outside the laboratory, additional expert judgements are needed. His most recent research focuses on exploring how expert judgments are made and how they should be validated.  ”

Scholarly Papers (52)

1.

Econometrics: The Keynes-Tinbergen Controversy

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 17 Feb 2015 Last Revised: 28 Feb 2015
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 401 (89,642)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

econometric methodology, statistical signifiance, regression analysis, homogeneity, statistical testing

2.

The Secrets Hidden by Two-Dimensionality: Modelling the Economy as a Hydraulic System

MODELS: THE THIRD DIMENSION OF SCIENCE, S. de Chadarevian, N. Hopwood, ed., Standford University Press, 2004
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 Nov 2009
Mary S. Morgan and Marcel J. Boumans
London School of Economics and Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 284 (131,209)

Abstract:

Loading...

model, analogy, metaphor, simulation, economic system

3.

Friedman and the Cowles Commission

Milton Friedman: Contributions to Economics and Public Policy, edited by Robert Cord and Daniel Hammond. Oxford University Press, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 12 Nov 2013
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 252 (148,243)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Cowles Commission, econometric model, econometrics, Marshallian approach, methodology, Milton Friedman, naïve model test, NBER, partitioning, simultaneous equations model, Walrasian approach

4.

A History of the Histories of Econometrics

HISTORIES ON ECONOMETRICS, Supplement, Durham: Duke University Press, 2011
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 27 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 31 Jan 2011
Marcel J. Boumans and Ariane Dupont
Utrecht University School of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 219 (169,666)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

econometrics, philosophy of science, discipline

5.

Measurement in Economics

HANDBOOK OF THE PHILOSOPHY OF ECONOMICS, U Mäki, ed., Elsevier, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 118 (284,833)

Abstract:

Loading...

calibration, error, instrument, model, precision, scale, standard

6.

Survey on Recent Work in the History of Econometrics A Witness Report

History of Political Economy (Forthcoming)
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 26 Dec 2018
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 114 (291,744)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

history of econometrics, metaphors, scientific revolution, discipline, crediting, science practice

7.

Observations in a Hostile Environment: Morgenstern on the Accuracy of Economic Observations

A HISTORY OF OBSERVATION IN ECONOMICS, HOPE Annual Supplement, H. Mass, M.S. Morgan, eds., December 2012
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Nov 2011
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 111 (297,139)

Abstract:

Loading...

experiment, inexact science, logical empiricism, Morgenstern, observation, social statistics

8.

Grey-Box Understanding in Economics

SCIENTIFIC STANDING: PHILOSOPHICAL PERSPECTIVES, H.W. de Regt, S. Leonelli, and K. Eigner, eds., University of Pittsburgh Press, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 106 (306,900)

Abstract:

Loading...

model, new classical economics, general equilibrium

9.

The Two-Model Problem in Rational Decision Making

Rationality and Society, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 24 Mar 2011
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 103 (312,886)

Abstract:

Loading...

information structure, model, Monty Hall problem, paradox, rationality, real-life situation

10.

The Engineering Tools that Shaped the Rational Expectations Revolution

History of Political Economy Volume 52, Issue S1, Economics and Engineering, edited by Pedro G. Duarte and Yann Giraud, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 28 Oct 2019
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 91 (338,819)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Communication Theory, Control Engineering, Dynamic Programming, Information Engineering, Kalman Filter, Rational Expectations, Turing Machine

11.

Visualisations for Understanding Complex Economic Systems

WAYS OF THINKING, WAYS OF SEEING, C. Bissell and C. Dillon, eds., Springer, 2011
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 28 May 2011
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 88 (345,992)

Abstract:

Loading...

analogy, intelligibility, model, simulation, visualisation

12.

Truth Versus Precision

LOGIC, METHODOLOGY AND PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE: PROCEEDING OF THE TWELFTH INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS, eds., P. Hájek, L. Valdés-Villanueva, D. Westerstahl, pp. 257-269, King's College Publications, 2009
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 82 (361,092)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

laboratory, measurement, accuracy, precision

13.

Introduction to Mark Blaug - Rebel with Many Causes

Mark Blaug - Rebel with Many Causes, M. Boumans and M. Klaes, eds., Edward Elgar, 2013
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 08 May 2013 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2013
Marcel J. Boumans and M Klaes
Utrecht University School of Economics and University of Dundee
Downloads 73 (385,879)

Abstract:

Loading...

Mark Blaug, economic history, economic methodology, economics of education, development economics, economics of the arts, economic theory, history of economic thought

14.

Models, Measurement, and 'Universal Patterns': Jan Tinbergen and Development Planning Without Theory

History of Political Economy 2018 Supplement, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 02 Oct 2017
Marcel J. Boumans and Neil De Marchi
Utrecht University School of Economics and Duke University - Department of Economics
Downloads 67 (404,206)

Abstract:

Loading...

Adelman, Chenery, Development Economics, Factor Analysis, Input-Output Analysis, Macroeconomics, Model, National Income Accounting, Planning, Tinbergen

15.

The Problem of Passive Observation

History of Political Economy, Vol. 42, No. 1, 2010
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 15 Feb 2010
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 67 (404,206)

Abstract:

Loading...

econometrics, experiment, causality

16.

When Evidence is Not in the Mean

Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS) Discussion Paper Series DP 76/05
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 17 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 63 (417,323)

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement, accuracy, precision, method of least squares

17.

Dynamizing Stability

HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, ANNUAL SUPPLEMENT 'ROBERT SOLOW AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF GROWTH ECONOMICS, eds., K. Hoover and M. Boianovsky, 2009
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 18 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 16 Dec 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 57 (438,212)

Abstract:

Loading...

mathematisation, model, aggregation

18.

Measurement and Error Problems (1800-1900) Buys Ballot and Landré’s Critique on the Method of Least Squares

THE STATISTICAL MIND IN MODERN SOCIETY - THE NETHERLANDS 1850-1940 - VOLUME II: STATISTICS AND SCIENTIFIC WORKS, I.H. Stamhuis, P.M.M. Klep, J.G.S.J. van Maarseveen, eds., pp. 179-197, Aksant
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 56 (441,810)

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement, method of least squares, meteorology, actuarial science

19.

The Role of Models in Measurement Outside the Laboratory

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 18 Apr 2012
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 55 (445,538)

Abstract:

Loading...

complex system, model, social science, uncertainty evaluation

20.

Observations of an Expert

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 51 (460,520)

Abstract:

Loading...

expert, observation, model

21.

The Regrettable Loss of Mathematical Molding in Econometrics

MECHANISM AND CASUALTY IN BIOLOGY AND ECONOMICS, Hsiang-Ke Chao, Szu-Ting Chen, Roberta L. Millstein, eds., Springer, 2012
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 18 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2012
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 50 (464,610)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

causal structure, econometrics, mathematics, mechanism

22.

Mathematics as Quasi-Matter to Build Models as Instruments

3rd VOLUME OF THE PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE IN A EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE, M. Weber, D. Dieks, W.J. Gonzalez, S. Hartman, F. Stadler, and M. Stöltzner. eds., Springer, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 30 Jan 2011
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 49 (468,529)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

model, experiment, quasi-matter, mathematics

23.

Fisher's Instrumental Approach to Index Numbers

THE AGE OF ECONOMIC MEASUREMENT, HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, ANNUAL SUPPLEMENT TO VOL. 33, pp. 313-344, Duke University Press, 2001
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 44 (489,568)

Abstract:

Loading...

index numbers, tests, axioms, measurement, instruments

24.

Graph-Based Inductive Reasoning

Studies in History and Philosophy of Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 05 May 2016
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 41 (502,970)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

expert judgment, graphical method, inductive reasoning, measurement, statistical method, visual cognition

25.

Flattening the Curve is Flattening the Complexity of COVID-19

History and Philosophy of Life Sciences, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 03 Dec 2020
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 38 (516,874)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

compartmental model, epidemic control, reproduction number, shape of an epidemic curve, social distancing

26.

Simulation and Economic Methodology

History, Methodology and Identity for a 21st Century Social Economics. Edited by Wilfred Dolfsma, D. Wade Hands, Robert McMaster. 2019. Routledge
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 05 Aug 2019
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 35 (531,760)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

explanation, simulation, rigor, Turing machine, Turing test

27.

Haavelmo’s Methodology of Empirical Science Outside the Laboratory

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 18 Aug 2012
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 34 (536,910)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

causal law, econometric methodology, exact science, Frisch, Haavelmo, Tinbergen

28.

Suppes's Outlines of an Empirical Measurement Theory

Journal of Economic Methodology, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 21 Jan 2016
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 30 (558,402)

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement theory, model of data, correspondence rule, Patrick Suppes

29.

From Dirty Data to Tidy Facts: Clustering Practices in Plant Phenomics and Business Cycle Analysis

Leonelli, S. & Tempini, N. (eds.), Varieties of Data Journeys. Springer, 2019
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 05 Nov 2019
Marcel J. Boumans and Sabina Leonelli
Utrecht University School of Economics and Exeter Centre for the Study of the Life Sciences
Downloads 25 (588,819)

Abstract:

Loading...

business cycle analysis, clustering, data cleaning, Mary Douglas, gestalt, plant phenomics

30.

Modeling Strategies for Measuring Phenomena In- and Outside the Laboratory

PROCEEDINGS OF EPSA09, H. de Regt, S. Okasha, S. Hartmann, eds., Springer, 2009
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 27 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 02 Feb 2011
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 22 (608,772)

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement, simulation, laboratory, model

31.

Battle in the Planning Office: Biased Experts Versus Normative Statisticians

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 20 (622,366)

Abstract:

Loading...

evidence based medicine, rational decisionmaking, heuristics

32.

Visualising Ignorance

EASTS, East Asian Science, Technology and Society: An International Journal, 2019
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 05 Aug 2019
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 15 (657,512)

Abstract:

Loading...

Bank of England, fan chart, gestalt principles, homogenization, uncertainty

33.

Pictorial Statistics

Exploring the History of Statistical Inference in Economics, edited by J. Biddle and M. Boumans. History of Political Economy, Supplement, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 07 Dec 2020
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics
Downloads 9 (702,785)

Abstract:

Loading...

composite portrait, eugenics, familiarization, objectivity, trained judgement

34.

Secrets Hidden by Two-Dimensionality: The Economy as a Hydraulic Machine

MODEL: THE THIRD DIMENSION OF SCIENCE, pp. 369-401, S. de Chadarevian and N. Hopwood, eds., Standford University Press, 2004
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Mary S. Morgan and Marcel J. Boumans
London School of Economics and Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

metaphor, analogy, model, Phillips machine

35.

Battle in the Planning Office: Field Experts Versus Normative Statisticians

Social Epistemology, Vol. 22, No. 4, pp. 389-404, October 2008
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

Expert, Rationality, Bayesian Statistics, Evidence-Based Medicine

36.

Measurement Outside the Laboratory

Philosophy of Science, Vol. 72, pp. 850-863, 2005
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement theory, laboratory, measuring instrument

37.

The Reliability of an Instrument

Social Epistemology, Vol. 18, No. 2-3, pp. 215-246, 2004
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

Accuracy, Calibration, Precision, Reputation, Secrets

38.

Tinbergen's Cycle: An Arithmetic Error

Econometric Theory, Vol. 11, 1995
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

business cycle, model

39.

Representation and Stability in Testing and Measuring Rational Expectations

Journal of Economic Methodology, Vol. 6, No. 3, pp. 381-402, 1999
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement, rational expectations, ceteris paribus, models, laws, autonomy

40.

Paul Ehrenfest and Jan Tinbergen: A Case of Limited Physics Transfer

NON-NATURAL SOCIAL SCIENCE: REFLECTING ON THE ENTERPRISE OF MORE HEAT THAN LIGHT, Annual Supplement to Vol. 25, History of Political Economy, pp. 131-156, Neil de Marchi, ed., Duke University Press, 1993
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

analogy, physics, mathematisation

41.

Lucas and Artificial Worlds

New Economics and Its History, ed J.B. Davis, History of Political Economy, annual supplement to vol. 29 (1997), pp. 63-88.
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

AI, testing, model builidng

42.

Built-In Justification

MODELS AS MEDIATORS, pp. 66-96, M.S. Morgan and M. Morrison, eds., Cambridge University Press, 1999
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

model building, context of discovery, context of justification

43.

Ceteris Paribus Conditions: Materiality and the Application of Economic Theories

Journal of Economics Methodology, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 11-26, 2001
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans and Mary S. Morgan
Utrecht University School of Economics and London School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

experiments, simulation, econometrics, modelling

44.

Measure for Measure: How Economists Model the World into Numbers

Social Research, Vol. 68, No. 2, pp. 427-453, 2001
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

models, macroeconomics, econometrics, measurement, instruments

45.

Calibration of Models in Experiments

MODEL-BASED REASONING: SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, VALUES, pp. 75-93, L. Magnani and N.J. Nersessian, eds., Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publisher, 2002
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

calibration, experiment, reliability, materiality, instrument

46.

Macroeconomic Approach to Complexity

SIMPLICITY, INFERENCE AND MODELING, pp. 73-82, A. Zellner, H.A. keuzenkamp, and M. McAleer, eds., Cambridge University Press, 2001
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

macroeconomics. computer science, hierarchical systems, model building

47.

How to Design Galilean Fall Experiments in Economics

Philosophy of Science, Vol. 70, No. 2, pp. 308-329, 2003
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

ceteris paribus, experiment, law of nature

48.

Models in Economics

THE ELGAR COMPANION TO ECONOMICS AND PHILOSOPHY, pp. 260-282, J.B. Davis, A. Marciano and J. Runde, eds., Edward Elgar, 2004
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

representation, rigor, intelligibility, instrument

49.

Measurement in Economic Systems

Measurement, Vol. 38, No. 4, pp. 275-284, 2005
Posted: 18 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

econometrics, economic mode, invariance, macroeconomics, passive observation, soft system

50.

Invariance and Calibration

MEASERMENT IN ECONOMICS: A HANDBOOK, M. Boumans, ed., pp. 231-248, Elsevier
Posted: 16 Jul 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

measurement, calibration, model, accuracy, instrument

51.

The Difference between Answering a 'Why' - Question and Answering a 'How Much' - Question

SIMULATION: PRAGMATIC CONSTRUCTION OF REALITY, The Sciences Yearbook, J. Lenhard, G. Küppers, T. Shinn, eds., Sociology of the Sciences Yearbook, pp. 107-124, Springer, 2006
Posted: 16 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 16 Oct 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

validity, calibration, measurement, simulation, black box, white box

52.

Frisch on Testing of Business Cycle Theories

Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 67, No. 1, 1995
Posted: 15 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 Nov 2009
Marcel J. Boumans
Utrecht University School of Economics

Abstract:

Loading...

Identification, Autonomy, Business cycle, Mathematical formalism, Confluence analysis