Valerie Cerra

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street NW

Washington, DC 20431

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

22

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Top 12,173

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4,929

SSRN CITATIONS
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SSRN RANKINGS

Top 2,700

in Total Papers Citations

418

CROSSREF CITATIONS

80

Scholarly Papers (22)

1.
Downloads 925 ( 31,011)
Citation 134

Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery

BIS Working Paper No. 226
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 519 (65,797)
Citation 134

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Output Loss, Recessions, Recovery, Business Cycles, Crises, Wars

Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery

IMF Working Paper No. 05/147
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 209 (179,832)
Citation 5

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Growth, Output Loss, Recessions, Recovery, Business Cycles, Crises, Wars

Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery

IMF Working Paper No. 05/147, BIS Working Paper No. 226
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 197 (189,207)
Citation 2

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Growth, Output Loss, Recessions, Recovery, Business Cycles, Crises, Wars

2.

Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and Output Gap: An Application to Sweden

IMF Working Paper No. 00/59
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 16 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 709 (44,609)
Citation 13

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Sweden, business cycle, output gap, potential output, detrending, production function, vector autoregression, unobserved components models

3.

An Empirical Analysis of China's Export Behavior

IMF Working Paper No. 02/200
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 27 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 591 (56,603)

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China, Trade, Export elasticities, Structural reform

Robbing the Riches: Capital Flight, Institutions, and Instability

IMF Working Paper No. 05/199
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Valerie Cerra, Meenakshi Rishi and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Seattle University and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 203 (183,944)

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Capital Flight, Institutions, Debt, Foreign Aid

Robbing the Riches: Capital Flight, Institutions, and Instability

IMF Working Paper No. 05/199
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 08 Nov 2005
Valerie Cerra, Meenakshi Rishi and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Seattle University and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 125 (277,025)
Citation 4

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Capital Flight, Institutions, Debt; Foreign Aid, Revolving door

5.

China's Trade Flows: Changing Price Sensitivities and the Reform Process

IMF Working Paper No. 99/1
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 Feb 2006
Valerie Cerra and Anuradha Dayal-Gulati
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 285 (132,202)
Citation 1

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Trade reform, China Exports, Imports, Price elasticity, Econometric models

6.

Contagion, Monsoons and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia: A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis

IMF Working Paper No. 00/60
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 20 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 284 (132,677)
Citation 3

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Currency crisis, Indonesia, contagion, Markov-switching models

7.

Eurosclerosis or Financial Collapse: Why Did Swedish Incomes Fall Behind?

IMF Working Paper No. 05/29
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 08 Mar 2005
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 280 (134,625)
Citation 2

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Financial Crisis, Welfare State, Sweden, Output Loss

8.

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: What are the Consequences of China's WTO Entry for India's Trade?

IMF Working Paper No. 05/101
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 26 Jul 2005
Valerie Cerra, Sandra A. Rivera and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), U.S. International Trade Commission, Economic Research Division and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 263 (143,586)

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China, India, Trade, World Trade Organization (WTO), CGE models

9.
Downloads 183 (204,109)
Citation 2

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

IMF Working Paper No. 20/73
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 18 Jun 2020
Valerie Cerra, A. Fatas and Sweta Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), affiliation not provided to SSRN and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 182 (205,075)
Citation 1

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Economic forecasting, Economic theory, Supply and demand, Business cycles, Economic policy, growth, hysteresis, economic model, macroeconomic policy, persistence, stabilization policy, macroeconomy, booms, crises, recovery, covid, pandemic, WP, technology shock, business cycle

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14531
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 08 May 2020
Valerie Cerra, Antonio Fatás and Sweta Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), INSEAD and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 1 (814,249)
Citation 1
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Booms, business cycles, Crises, growth, hysteresis, Macroeconomic Policy, Persistence, recovery, Stabilization Policy

10.

Inflation and the Black Market Exchange Rate in a Repressed Market: A Model of Venezuela

IMF Working Paper No. 16/159
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Valerie Cerra
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 164 (222,148)

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Inflation, Venezuela, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Devaluation, Official exchange market rates, Shadow economy, Consumer goods, General equilibrium models, inflation; black market; exchange rate; Venezuela; foreign exchange rationing;scarcity; cash in advance constraint; oil revenue; fiscal dominance

11.

The Monetary Model Strikes Back: Evidence from the World

IMF Working Paper No. 08/73
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 02 Apr 2008
Valerie Cerra and Sweta Chaman Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 142 (250,248)
Citation 1

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Working Paper

12.

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: What are the Consequences of China's WTO Entry for India's Trade?

IMF Working Paper No. 05/101
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Valerie Cerra, Sandra A. Rivera and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), U.S. International Trade Commission, Economic Research Division and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 138 (255,949)

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China, India, Trade, World Trade Organization (WTO), CGE models

13.

Did Output Recover from the Asian Crisis?

IMF Working Paper No. 03/48
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 15 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 136 (258,962)
Citation 6

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Asia, crisis, business cycles, recovery, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore

14.

Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy

IMF Working Paper No. 08/204
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 12 Sep 2008
Serpil Tekin, Stephen J. Turnovsky and Valerie Cerra
University of Washington, University of Washington - Institute for Economic Research and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 133 (263,343)
Citation 2

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Working Paper, Aid flows, Real effective exchange rates, Imports, Fiscal policy, External debt, Capital accumulation, Trade, Economic models

15.
Downloads 124 (277,571)
Citation 13

International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions

IMF Working Paper No. 09/183
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 17 Sep 2009
Valerie Cerra, Ugo Panizza and Sweta Chaman Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), United Nations - Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 121 (283,928)
Citation 1

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Banking crisis, Business cycles, Concessional aid, Developed countries, Economic growth, Economic recession, Economic recovery, Emerging markets, Exchange rate regimes, External shocks, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Real effective exchange rates, Trade policy

International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 31, Issue 2, pp. 424-439, 2013
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 26 Feb 2013
Valerie Cerra, Ugo Panizza and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 3 (790,101)
Citation 7
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16.

Highways to Heaven: Infrastructure Determinants and Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

IMF Working Paper No. 16/185
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Government of New Zealand - Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 74 (386,926)

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Infrastructure, Latin America, Caribbean, Transportation, Electricity, Energy, Communications services, Fiscal policy, Public investment, Public-private partnership, Private sector, Environmental sustainability, Cross country analysis, Latin America and the Caribbean, infrastructure, public investment, investmentefficiency, public-private partnerships.

How Competitive is Irish Manufacturing?

IMF Working Paper No. 02/160
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 02 Feb 2006
Valerie Cerra and Jarkko Soikkeli
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 70 (403,708)

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Ireland competitiveness unit labor costs real exchange rate employment

How Competitive is Irish Manufacturing?

Economic and Social Review, Vol. 34, No. 2, pp. 173-93, 2003
Posted: 15 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra, Jarkko Soikkeli and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department

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Ireland, competitiveness, unit labor costs, real exchange rate, employment

18.

Booms, Crises, and Recoveries: A New Paradigm of the Business Cycle and its Policy Implications

IMF Working Paper No. 17/250
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 01 Feb 2018
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 59 (435,480)
Citation 2

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Business cycles, Financial crises, Potential output, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Macroprudential Policy, booms, crises, recoveries, business cycle, output gap, growth, foreign reserves, macro-prudential policy, Global Financial Crisis, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

19.

Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia's Currency Crisis

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 31 Dec 2002
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department
Downloads 32 (553,002)
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20.

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World

IMF Working Paper No. 17/43
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 25 Apr 2017
Valerie Cerra and Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Fondation Pour les Etudes et Recherches Sur le Développement International (FERDI)
Downloads 9 (710,316)

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Trade, Unemployment, export accelerations, growth, inequality, probit, synthetic control method, Latin America and the Caribbean; globalization, Latin America and the Caribbean, globalization, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, Economic Growth of Open Economies, General

21.

What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?

IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 49, No. 3, pp. 395-425, 2002
Posted: 16 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department

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India, Currency Crisis, Equilibrium exchange rate, error correction model, Gonzalo-Granger decomposition

22.

How Responsive is Chinese Export Supply to Market Signals?

Posted: 15 Feb 2004
Valerie Cerra and Sweta C. Saxena
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - Monetary and Economic Department

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China, Trade, Export elasticities, Structural reform