1.
Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Expenditure? A Sentiment Index Horse Race
Economic Policy Review, Vol. 4, No. 2, June 1998
Number of pages: 20
Posted: 23 Oct 2007
Accepted Paper Series
Federal Reserve Bank of New York and New York University - Department of Economics
Downloads
1,484
2.
Behavioral Finance Beyond the Markets: A Real-Time Case Study of Russia's Military Resurgence
The Journal of Behavioral Finance & Economics, Vol. 5, Issues 1-2, pp. 145-164, 2016
Number of pages: 16
Posted: 10 Aug 2017
Last Revised: 13 Aug 2017
Accepted Paper Series
Socionomics Institute, Socionomics Institute and The Socionomics Institute
Downloads
1,467
3.
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4750-09, Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 1472892
Number of pages: 62
Posted: 15 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 08 Jan 2018
Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Laboratory for Financial Engineering and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management
There are 2 versions of this paper
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 4750-09, Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 1472892
Number of pages: 62
Posted: 15 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 08 Jan 2018
Downloads
1,338
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
NBER Working Paper No. w15362
Number of pages: 68
Posted: 21 Sep 2009
Last Revised: 24 Jun 2010
Downloads
64
Downloads
1,338
4.
Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Turkey
Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, Vol. 2, No. 4, 2013, pp.119-129
Number of pages: 11
Posted: 08 Dec 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Yildiz Technical University and Istanbul University - Faculty of Business Administration, Department of Finance
Downloads
1,276
5.
Collective Hallucinations and Inefficient Markets: The British Railway Mania of the 1840s
Number of pages: 322
Posted: 18 Jan 2010
Working Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads
1,232
6.
Forecasting Methods (Spanish Version)
Number of pages: 29
Posted: 23 Feb 2006
Working Paper Series
Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation
Downloads
1,230
7.
Rural Tourism and It’s Impact on Socioeconomic Condition: Evidence from West Bengal, India
Global Journal of Business Research, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 11-22, 2012
Number of pages: 12
Posted: 07 Jan 2012
Accepted Paper Series
affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Vishweshwarayya National Institute of Technology and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads
1,197
8.
The Implications of an Ageing Population for the UK Economy
Bank of England Working Paper No. 159
Number of pages: 43
Posted: 10 Dec 2002
Working Paper Series
National Institute of Economic and Social Research
Downloads
1,178
9.
Bubbles, Gullibility, and Other Challenges for Economics, Psychology, Sociology, and Information Sciences
First Monday, Vol. 15, No. 9, Sept. 2010
Number of pages: 48
Posted: 30 Aug 2010
Last Revised: 08 Aug 2015
Accepted Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads
1,164
10.
Exchange Rate and Industrial Commodity Volatility Transmissions and Hedging Strategies
Number of pages: 33
Posted: 16 Sep 2009
Working Paper Series
Montpellier Business School, Drexel University - Bennett S. LeBow College of Business and Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Downloads
1,075
11.
This Time is Different: An Example of a Giant, Wildly Speculative, and Successful Investment Mania
B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, Vol. 10, Issue 1, Article 60, 2010
Number of pages: 23
Posted: 23 Mar 2010
Last Revised: 27 Feb 2012
Accepted Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads
1,050
12.
'Google It!' Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with A Google Job Search Index
FEEM Working Paper No. 31.2010
Number of pages: 58
Posted: 22 Apr 2010
Working Paper Series
Bank of Italy and Bank of Italy
Downloads
997
13.
The Three Horsemen of Riches: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe
Review of Economic Studies (2013), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 41
Posted: 12 Nov 2007
Last Revised: 13 May 2013
Accepted Paper Series
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Anderson School of Management and University of Zurich - UBS International Center of Economics in Society
There are 2 versions of this paper
The Three Horsemen of Riches: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe
Review of Economic Studies (2013), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 41
Posted: 12 Nov 2007
Last Revised: 13 May 2013
Downloads
915
The Three Horsemen of Growth: Plague, War and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7275
Number of pages: 59
Posted: 19 May 2009
Downloads
13
Downloads
915
14.
Functional Forms and Parametrization of Cge Models
PEP Working Paper No. 2006-04
Number of pages: 44
Posted: 27 Apr 2006
Last Revised: 11 Jul 2018
Working Paper Series
Université Laval - Département d'Économique, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) and Université Laval - Département d'Économique
Downloads
788
15.
Why England? Demographic Factors, Structural Change and Physical Capital Accumulation During the Industrial Revolution
Journal of Economical Growth, Vol. 11, No. 4, 2006
Number of pages: 43
Posted: 08 Aug 2006
Last Revised: 12 Oct 2012
Working Paper Series
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Anderson School of Management and University of Zurich - UBS International Center of Economics in Society
Downloads
762
16.
Adaptive Market Timing with ETFs
Number of pages: 18
Posted: 29 Dec 2010
Working Paper Series
Independent
Downloads
760
17.
Comprehensive Time-Series Regression Models Using Gretl — U.S. GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013
Number of pages: 82
Posted: 21 Dec 2014
Last Revised: 17 Aug 2019
Working Paper Series
Angelo State University - Norris-Vincent College of Business - Department of Management and Marketing
Downloads
759
18.
Living with Reduced Income: An Analysis of Household Financial Vulnerability under COVID-19
Number of pages: 25
Posted: 16 Jan 2021
Working Paper Series
Bruegel and University of Antwerp
Downloads
726
19.
Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Senegal: A Dynamic Microsimulation Cge Model Analysis
CIRPEE Working Paper No. 05-12
Number of pages: 31
Posted: 15 May 2005
Last Revised: 16 Jul 2018
Working Paper Series
Université Laval - Département d'Économique, Université Cheikh Anta Diop, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) and Université Laval - Département d'Économique
Downloads
688
20.
Charles Mackay's Own Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Railway Mania
Number of pages: 48
Posted: 14 Sep 2011
Last Revised: 27 Feb 2012
Working Paper Series
University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - School of Mathematics and Digital Technology Center
Downloads
669
21.
What Dividend Imputation Means for Retirement Savers
Number of pages: 31
Posted: 05 Sep 2018
Working Paper Series
Australian National University - Research School of Finance, Actuarial Studies & Statistics, Australian National University (ANU) and Australian National University (ANU) - Research School of Finance, Actuarial Studies and Statistics
There are 2 versions of this paper
What Dividend Imputation Means for Retirement Savers
Number of pages: 31
Posted: 05 Sep 2018
Downloads
641
What Dividend Imputation Means for Retirement Savers
Economic Record, Vol. 95, Issue 309, pp. 181-199, 2019
Number of pages: 19
Posted: 17 May 2020
Downloads
641
22.
Libor Benchmark Reform: An Overview of Libor Changes and Its Impact on Yield Curves, Pricing and Risk
Number of pages: 67
Posted: 12 Nov 2019
Last Revised: 03 Jan 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Oxford, Said Business School
Downloads
632
23.
Analyzing Macroeconomic Indicators of Economic Growth Using Panel Data
Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, Vol.2, No.3, 2013, pp 41-53
Number of pages: 13
Posted: 14 May 2013
Last Revised: 15 Aug 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Istanbul University - School of Business, Department of Quantitative Methods, Istanbul University - Faculty of Business Administration, Department of Finance and Istanbul University - School of Business - Department of Quantitative Techniques
Downloads
609
24.
Optimal World Oil Extraction: Calibrating and Simulating the Hotelling Model
Number of pages: 52
Posted: 12 Nov 2004
Working Paper Series
Cornell University
Downloads
591
25.
Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach
Number of pages: 77
Posted: 30 Oct 2019
Last Revised: 07 Aug 2020
Working Paper Series
University of Pittsburgh and University of Pittsburgh
There are 3 versions of this paper
Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach
Number of pages: 77
Posted: 30 Oct 2019
Last Revised: 07 Aug 2020
Downloads
588
Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach
NBER Working Paper No. w26165
Number of pages: 72
Posted: 20 Aug 2019
Downloads
8
Predicting Consumer Default: A Deep Learning Approach
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13914
Number of pages: 74
Posted: 20 Aug 2019
Downloads
3
Downloads
588
26.
Forecasting Private Consumption: Survey-Based Indicators vs. Google Trends
Ruhr Economic Paper No. 155
Number of pages: 23
Posted: 30 Nov 2009
Working Paper Series
Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI) and Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI-Essen)
Downloads
575
27.
Solution and Simulation of Large Stock Flow Consistent Monetary Production Models Via the Gauss Seidel Algorithm
Journal of Policy Modeling, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 34
Posted: 09 Mar 2011
Working Paper Series
University of Limerick and University of Limerick - Kemmy Business School
Downloads
566
28.
Population Aging in Japan: Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability
IMF Working Paper No. 01/40
Number of pages: 29
Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Working Paper Series
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
There are 2 versions of this paper
Population Aging in Japan: Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability
IMF Working Paper No. 01/40
Number of pages: 29
Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Downloads
495
Population Aging in Japan: Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability
IMF Working Paper No. 01/40
Number of pages: 29
Posted: 11 Aug 2009
Downloads
97
Downloads
495
29.
News and the Term Structure in General Equilibrium
Number of pages: 46
Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Working Paper Series
Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO)
Downloads
491
30.
Deficit Spending in the Nazi Recovery, 1933-1938: A Critical Reassessment
Zurich IEER Working Paper No. 68
Number of pages: 38
Posted: 09 Mar 2001
Working Paper Series
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Economic History
Downloads
479
31.
Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
Number of pages: 23
Posted: 14 Apr 2010
Working Paper Series
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance, Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics and Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Downloads
460
32.
Population Aging and its Macroeconomic Implications: A Framework for Analysis
IMF Working Paper No. 02/16
Number of pages: 32
Posted: 31 Jan 2006
Working Paper Series
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads
446
33.
Covid-19: A View from the Labor Market
FRB of Dallas Working Paper No. 2010
Number of pages: 25
Posted: 29 Apr 2020
Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Working Paper Series
Indiana University Bloomington - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and William & Mary
Downloads
444
34.
An Important Predictor of Market Bubbles, Crashes and Corrections
Number of pages: 3
Posted: 07 Jun 2017
Working Paper Series
Laval University
Downloads
442
35.
Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts
Number of pages: 32
Posted: 03 Jun 2010
Working Paper Series
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance, Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics and Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Downloads
419
36.
Food and Agriculture in Afghanistan: A Long Term Outlook
AFGHANISTAN - HOW MUCH OF THE PAST IN THE NEW FUTURE, A. Palmisano and G. Ricco, eds., Gorizia, Italy: ISIG, 2007
Number of pages: 10
Posted: 08 Jan 2005
Accepted Paper Series
Universidad del Pacífico
Downloads
400
37.
Knowledge Accumulation, Privacy, and Growth in a Data Economy
Number of pages: 52
Posted: 15 Oct 2019
Last Revised: 26 Oct 2020
Working Paper Series
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management, Tsinghua University - Institute of Economics and Central University of Finance and Economics
Downloads
378
38.
Advances in Forecasting Under Instability
Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 111
Number of pages: 141
Posted: 28 Sep 2011
Last Revised: 27 Sep 2013
Accepted Paper Series
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads
371
39.
Sector Rotation through the Business Cycle: A Machine Learning Regime Approach
Number of pages: 36
Posted: 31 Oct 2019
Last Revised: 04 Nov 2019
Working Paper Series
University of Cambridge
Downloads
371
40.
Turning on the Light: Assessing the Impact of Brexit Using Electricity Demand as a Proxy
Number of pages: 9
Posted: 14 Dec 2016
Last Revised: 06 Aug 2017
Working Paper Series
London School of Economics - Centre for Economic Performance and London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)
Downloads
366
41.
Now- and Backcasting Initial Claims with High-Dimensional Daily Internet Search-Volume Data
Number of pages: 48
Posted: 13 Sep 2020
Last Revised: 08 Jan 2021
Working Paper Series
Aarhus University, CREATES, DFI, Saint Louis University and Aarhus University - CREATES
Downloads
352
42.
The Transition of China to Sustainable Growth – Implications for the Global Economy and the Euro Area
ECB Occasional Paper No. 206
Number of pages: 66
Posted: 31 Jan 2018
Working Paper Series
European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England, Bank of England, Bank of Finland - Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads
347
43.
Reits and Idiosyncratic Risk
Journal of Real Estate Research, Vol. 26, No. 2, 2004
Number of pages: 16
Posted: 03 Jan 2007
Accepted Paper Series
Indiana University of Pennsylvania - Department of Finance and Legal Studies, Indiana University of Pennsylvania and Cleveland State University
Downloads
340
44.
The Great Shift: Macroeconomic Projections for the World Economy at the 2050 Horizon
CEPII Working Paper No. 2012-3
Number of pages: 104
Posted: 15 Feb 2012
Working Paper Series
Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Info. Internationales (CEPII), Paris School of Economics (University Paris 1) and University of Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne
Downloads
340
45.
An Important Inconsistency at the Heart of the Standard Macroeconomic Model
The Jerome Levy Economics Institute WP No. 236
Number of pages: 19
Posted: 24 Jun 1998
Working Paper Series
Bard College and The New School - Department of Economics
Downloads
331
46.
Creating a Smarter Conditional Consensus Forecast
Financial Analysts Journal, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 24
Posted: 20 Nov 2007
Last Revised: 01 Apr 2014
Working Paper Series
Temple University - Department of Accounting, Georgia State University - Department of Finance and Georgia State University
Downloads
331
47.
A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?
Quaderni - Working Paper DSE N° 1062
Number of pages: 63
Posted: 12 Mar 2016
Working Paper Series
University of Bologna - Department of Economics, University of Bologna - Department of Economics and University of Bologna
Downloads
330
48.
Macroeconomic Stabilization Through an Employer of Last Resort
Number of pages: 37
Posted: 10 Dec 2010
Working Paper Series
Wartburg College
Downloads
326
49.
The Dynamics of Material Flows in Supply Chains
Number of pages: 21
Posted: 14 Sep 2007
Working Paper Series
Centre for Simulation, Analytics, and Modelling, The University of Exeter Business School
Downloads
313
50.
Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis
Economics Bulletin, Vol. 32, Issue 2, April 2012
Number of pages: 10
Posted: 27 Apr 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Meiji University - School of Commerce
There are 2 versions of this paper
Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis
Economics Bulletin, Vol. 32, Issue 2, April 2012
Number of pages: 10
Posted: 27 Apr 2012
Downloads
305
Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis
Number of pages: 11
Posted: 23 Feb 2011
Last Revised: 30 Apr 2012
Downloads
133
Downloads
305
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